Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 4.266142 4.588309 4.934083 5.334711 5.788552 6.289634 6.888787
2025-06-15 3.789625 4.245137 4.767188 5.417740 6.218353 7.187676 8.476508
2025-06-22 3.365349 3.861539 4.453132 5.224816 6.227646 7.521879 9.382982
2025-06-29 3.081470 3.599833 4.236633 5.097374 6.266012 7.856991 10.307933
2025-07-06 2.867717 3.398669 4.066940 4.997242 6.308278 8.178961 11.249111
2025-07-13 2.721012 3.267128 3.969899 4.975498 6.443990 8.638538 12.482210
2025-07-20 2.636142 3.206854 3.957926 5.063520 6.739809 9.374256 14.343303
2025-07-27 2.572836 3.168694 3.969790 5.181892 7.089591 10.246956 16.698910
2025-08-03 2.483167 3.087803 3.914449 5.192975 7.267485 10.853748 18.719651
2025-08-10 2.379021 2.980304 3.813132 5.123635 7.302498 11.206150 20.303002
2025-08-17 2.263991 2.851483 3.672960 4.982118 7.198680 11.279318 21.253733
2025-08-24 2.177954 2.759352 3.580848 4.908653 7.203292 11.561501 22.835409
2025-08-31 2.116721 2.702871 3.542715 4.926300 7.385396 12.265009 25.982833
2025-09-07 2.071702 2.667962 3.535393 4.994860 7.672181 13.261916 30.673083
2025-09-14 1.971881 2.548284 3.392106 4.824365 7.487112 13.169961 31.713939
2025-09-21 1.893176 2.456487 3.287185 4.711722 7.402239 13.297730 33.677899
2025-09-28 1.825786 2.378660 3.199967 4.623104 7.354668 13.506338 36.139094
2025-10-05 1.778672 2.329157 3.154545 4.603845 7.444171 14.075929 40.669022
2025-10-12 1.755804 2.314995 3.163968 4.681772 7.743064 15.266223 49.653277
2025-10-19 1.739610 2.310044 3.187486 4.786425 8.113048 16.769856 63.237888
2025-10-26 1.705209 2.275583 3.160964 4.796215 8.274908 17.718748 75.478864
2025-11-02 1.659013 2.221149 3.099008 4.734941 8.267573 18.141352 84.661018
2025-11-09 1.603073 2.149823 3.006289 4.609709 8.099073 18.002230 88.370263